Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000150 0.000166 0.000183 0.000202 0.000224 0.000248 0.000277
2025-06-01 0.000118 0.000140 0.000166 0.000198 0.000238 0.000285 0.000346
2025-06-08 0.000097 0.000121 0.000151 0.000191 0.000243 0.000310 0.000403
2025-06-15 0.000086 0.000112 0.000146 0.000193 0.000259 0.000347 0.000478
2025-06-22 0.000078 0.000106 0.000143 0.000197 0.000276 0.000387 0.000562
2025-06-29 0.000070 0.000097 0.000135 0.000193 0.000280 0.000409 0.000621
2025-07-06 0.000062 0.000088 0.000126 0.000185 0.000277 0.000419 0.000662
2025-07-13 0.000057 0.000083 0.000122 0.000185 0.000287 0.000450 0.000740
2025-07-20 0.000054 0.000080 0.000121 0.000188 0.000300 0.000487 0.000834
2025-07-27 0.000050 0.000076 0.000117 0.000186 0.000306 0.000512 0.000911
2025-08-03 0.000047 0.000074 0.000116 0.000189 0.000320 0.000552 0.001018
2025-08-10 0.000044 0.000070 0.000112 0.000187 0.000323 0.000573 0.001094
2025-08-17 0.000041 0.000066 0.000108 0.000184 0.000328 0.000600 0.001187
2025-08-24 0.000038 0.000063 0.000104 0.000182 0.000332 0.000626 0.001286
2025-08-31 0.000035 0.000058 0.000098 0.000176 0.000329 0.000636 0.001353
2025-09-07 0.000033 0.000056 0.000097 0.000178 0.000342 0.000682 0.001508
2025-09-14 0.000032 0.000055 0.000097 0.000181 0.000358 0.000737 0.001694
2025-09-21 0.000030 0.000052 0.000093 0.000177 0.000358 0.000757 0.001799
2025-09-28 0.000027 0.000048 0.000088 0.000170 0.000350 0.000756 0.001849
2025-10-05 0.000026 0.000047 0.000086 0.000171 0.000359 0.000798 0.002021
2025-10-12 0.000025 0.000046 0.000086 0.000173 0.000373 0.000852 0.002238
2025-10-19 0.000024 0.000044 0.000084 0.000172 0.000378 0.000885 0.002404
2025-10-26 0.000023 0.000043 0.000083 0.000174 0.000392 0.000944 0.002659